WANA (Aug 03) – Despite growing military threats against Iran, assessments suggest that Washington’s decision-making process over a potential large-scale confrontation remains complicated by serious doubts. While military options against Iran have reportedly been prepared in the U.S. administration, concerns over regional consequences, Iran’s response and opposition from some U.S. allies have made the situation more difficult for the White House.

 

The main points shaping the current situation are as follows:

 

1- Trump’s doubts over launching a major war with Iran

Despite public speculation about the possibility of renewed large-scale military confrontation with Iran, U.S. President Donald Trump is reportedly facing serious doubts over the consequences and outcome of such an action. Concerns over political, security and regional costs are among the factors influencing these calculations.

 

2- U.S. military plan finalized, but doubts remain over its effectiveness

Reports indicate that a military plan targeting Iran has been prepared and finalized within the U.S. government. However, Trump remains uncertain about the effectiveness and potential success of such an option. Assessments of Iran’s possible response and the risk of a wider regional conflict are among the key issues under consideration.

 

3- Strong concerns among Arab states over a new war

Several Arab countries in the region have expressed deep concerns about the possibility of a new conflict between Iran and the United States. These countries believe that due to their geographical position and security and economic ties, they could become among the main parties affected by the consequences of any war.

 

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WANA (Aug 02 ) – Since the beginning of 2026, U.S. President Donald Trump has repeatedly issued harsh threats against Iran, warning that critical infrastructure, including power plants, oil facilities, bridges, and strategic sites, could be targeted. However, in several cases, these threats were followed by a retreat, extensions of deadlines, or a shift in […]

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4- Arab states urge Washington to continue diplomacy

According to these assessments, some Arab governments have asked Washington to refrain from military action against Iran as long as the Oman-mediated talks continue. These countries are seeking to prevent tensions from escalating into a broader regional crisis.

 

5- Military threats remain, with the possibility of a strategic deception

Despite signs suggesting a possible reduction in the likelihood of war, military threats against Iran remain in place. Some analysts believe that part of the current atmosphere could be aimed at applying psychological pressure and gaining political leverage, meaning other scenarios cannot be completely ruled out.

 

6- Talks continue through Oman, not direct Iran-U.S. negotiations

At present, there are no direct negotiations underway between Iran and the United States, and diplomatic contacts are continuing through Oman’s mediation channel. This route remains one of the main mechanisms for managing tensions between Tehran and Washington.

 

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7- Israeli and Netanyahu pressure for action against Iran

Meanwhile, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Israeli officials have reportedly been pushing Trump to approve actions targeting Iran’s infrastructure. The goal of this approach is described as increasing pressure on Tehran and attempting to alter Iran’s internal and regional calculations.

 

8- Iran’s deterrence messages influencing Trump’s calculations

Iran’s statements regarding its readiness to deliver a strong response to any attack are considered one of the factors affecting Washington’s calculations. Tehran has warned that any military action against Iran would face a broad response, a factor that could increase the potential costs of any operation for the United States.

 

Overall, while the military option remains part of Washington’s pressure strategy, the decision to implement it faces significant obstacles and uncertainties.

 

The continuation of Oman-mediated diplomacy, concerns among regional allies, Israeli pressure and Iran’s warnings are among the key factors that could shape the future course of tensions between Tehran and Washington.