WANA (Oct 08) – With the activation of the UN “snapback” mechanism and the reimposition of sanctions against Iran, concerns have emerged about potential impacts on the country’s automotive industry and the possibility of Chinese companies exiting the Iranian market. However, a review of official UN Security Council documents and expert analyses indicates that such concerns are largely unfounded.

 

Between 2006 and 2010, the UN Security Council adopted six resolutions against Iran, all focused on curbing nuclear proliferation, restricting missile programs, and monitoring dual-use items. None of these resolutions imposed restrictions on civilian industries such as automotive manufacturing. Therefore, the activation of the snapback mechanism does not legally apply to the automotive sector.

 

An automotive industry expert told local media: “Iran and China have long-term strategic partnerships in which the automotive industry is only one part. These relations are built on mutual interests and a shared resistance to Western pressure. It is highly unlikely that Beijing would withdraw from this cooperation due to the return of UN sanctions.”

Presidents of Iran and China. Social media / WANA News Agency

Presidents of Iran and China. Social media / WANA News Agency

In recent years, China has invested tens of billions of dollars in Iran’s energy, infrastructure, and manufacturing sectors, solidifying its position as Tehran’s main economic partner. Past experience with sanctions has shown that cooperation between the two countries not only continued but often became stronger during such periods.

 

Economically, Iran represents a high-capacity and relatively stable market for Chinese automakers. Exiting this market would mean losing substantial investments and long-term commercial opportunities.

 

Still, analysts caution that the psychological effects of renewed sanctions could influence consumer behavior and affect domestic production levels. Some assembly lines might temporarily see reduced output, but this does not indicate the end of Chinese cooperation in Iran’s auto sector.

A general view of traffic, cars, Bus, BRT and taxis in a street in Tehran, Iran December, 2024. Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency)

Chinese automakers also remain contractually committed to supplying spare parts and providing after-sales services for vehicles already sold in Iran. These obligations, guaranteed by warranty and service agreements, ensure that Iranian customers are unlikely to face major service disruptions.

 

While smaller importers and assemblers with limited financial or logistical capacity may experience temporary setbacks, major players with established infrastructure, capital, and deep ties to Chinese suppliers are expected to remain largely unaffected.

 

Overall, it appears that Iran’s automotive industry—particularly its collaboration with Chinese partners—remains outside the scope of the snapback mechanism. This partnership is sustained not only by economic interests but also by the strategic alignment between the two nations.