WANA (Jul 19) – The UAE dirham-based financial channel is one of the most widely used mechanisms for settling Iran’s international trade transactions. However, some economic analysts have warned that this dependency could allow foreign actors to access sensitive information about Iran’s financial operations.

 

Currency transactions routed through the UAE form a critical part of Iran’s foreign trade, especially under sanctions. Yet along this route, data on transaction participants, import patterns, intermediary networks, and estimates of foreign currency reserves can be logged and analyzed. Such information may be used to design more targeted sanctions or to identify structural vulnerabilities in Iran’s economy.

 

Dirham settlements are typically conducted through exchange houses in Dubai or Abu Dhabi. According to various reports, Emirati financial institutions have in recent years cooperated closely with anti-money laundering and counter-terrorist financing programs, sharing international transaction data with Western intelligence frameworks under formal agreements.

 

 

From this perspective, every transaction through the UAE may serve as a data point for analyzing Iran’s financial behavior. Some experts point out that this information does not require cyber-espionage; rather, it flows through official financial exchanges.

 

Hassan Karimnia, a transport and transit analyst, noted that such data has already aided in identifying intermediary firms and crafting more precise sanctions. He added that trading patterns of Iran’s Central Bank in the open market may be reconstructed using algorithmic analysis, helping identify peak demand periods and foreign currency shortages.

 

To reduce this dependency and its associated risks, experts have proposed several countermeasures: expanding barter-based trade channels with aligned countries such as Iraq, Turkey, and Syria; establishing blockchain-based payment infrastructures; signing bilateral monetary agreements with nations like China and Russia; and limiting foreign exchange houses’ access to sensitive data through domestic intermediaries.

Kamran Rahimi, an economic analyst, told local media that the UAE officially joined the Western financial data-sharing network in 2016 and that all payment and settlement systems in the country are now under close surveillance. He proposed two major solutions to mitigate the risk: first, replacing traditional frameworks with domestic or regional blockchain platforms; second, expanding direct trade using national currencies, such as rial-yuan settlement mechanisms with China.

 

According to Rahimi, using smart contracts and encrypted identities in blockchain transactions can keep sensitive data confidential. He also argued that given the large volume of imports from China, establishing a rial-yuan clearing mechanism would not only reduce Iran’s reliance on dollar- or dirham-based channels but also strengthen bilateral financial ties.

 

Some analysts stress that in the digital age, financial transaction data has become a key source of power. Managing this data and restricting foreign access to sensitive economic information are increasingly seen as strategic priorities for Iran’s financial system.

The sign of the Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran is seen in Tehran, Iran January 25, 2023. Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency)

The sign of the Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran is seen in Tehran, Iran January 25, 2023. Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency)