WANA  (Jul 06) – Despite the apparent calm on the operational front, tensions between Iran and the Israeli regime are intensifying at the media, intelligence, and diplomatic levels. Iranian officials, while warning of possible Israeli deception, emphasize full readiness.

 

Simultaneously, Tel Aviv, by adopting a strategy of “creating fear and suspense” in Iranian public opinion and filling its intelligence gaps, seeks to manage deterrence and weaken Iran’s response capability. This analysis reviews four main axes of the current state of this confrontation:

 

Lack of Concrete Signs of Israeli Operational Readiness; Iran’s Maximum Alert

According to Iran’s official assessments, currently, no serious signs of immediate operational readiness are observed in the Israeli military. Nevertheless, due to Tel Aviv’s history of deception and diversionary operations, Tehran maintains a very high state of alert.

 

Past experiences—from limited attacks to extensive psychological warfare—have led Iranian security institutions to regard any apparent calm as potentially deceptive and dangerous.

 

Israel’s Strategy: Creating Fear and Suspense in Iran

In parallel with the absence of serious military action, Israel has launched a targeted campaign to create an atmosphere of fear and suspense in Iran.

 

Public threats by Israeli officials, talking about the “military option on the table,” and even personal references to Iran’s leadership are seen as part of efforts to instill insecurity and psychological instability in Iranian society. This strategy targets Iran’s internal audience and also sends a message of deterrence to Tehran’s regional allies.

 

Israel’s Efforts to Fill Intelligence Gaps

Another notable axis of Tel Aviv’s recent activities is the strengthening of intelligence gathering and more precise identification of Iran’s military infrastructure and capabilities.

 

Iranian security sources believe the increase in intelligence and espionage activities in the region is part of Israel’s preparation for any future scenario. In other words, even in the absence of immediate operational readiness, Tel Aviv is trying to fill its intelligence gaps and gain the upper hand in the intelligence war.

 

The Impact of the Upcoming Netanyahu-Trump Meeting on the Future Path

At the political-diplomatic level, eyes are on the upcoming meeting between Benjamin Netanyahu and Donald Trump. This meeting could play an important role in determining the future path of the crisis.

 

From analysts’ perspective, Netanyahu seeks to gain more explicit support from Trump for multilayered pressure on Iran—both in terms of sanctions and military threats. Trump’s position in this meeting could have domestic implications for Israel and also shift Tehran’s strategic calculations regarding the real level of threat.

 

While no signs of immediate Israeli attack preparations are observed on the ground, Tehran—mindful of past deceptive operations—remains on full alert.

 

Tel Aviv’s strategy to create fear and suspense, fill intelligence gaps, and gain U.S. political support shows that the Iran-Israel confrontation has entered a more complex phase beyond verbal threats or limited moves—a phase where the risk of miscalculation or sudden tension remains high.