WANA (Jun 02) – The Research Institute of the Comprehensive University of Islamic Revolution has published the results of a comprehensive public opinion survey conducted in May, gauging public sentiment regarding the ongoing conflict, potential agreements with the United States, and regional defense strategies.

 

The poll focused on Iran’s recent war, revealing strong domestic backing for the country’s military apparatus alongside nuanced views on diplomacy and economic warfare.

 

Overwhelming View of Iranian Victory

When asked to evaluate the current status of the conflict, an overwhelming majority of respondents viewed Iran as the dominant side.

  • 84% of respondents believe Iran is winning the war.
  • 8.4% believe the United States is currently winning.

 

High Confidence in the Armed Forces

The survey indicated robust public trust in Iran’s military readiness to counter potential threats from the United States.

  • 75.3% expressed high levels of trust in the Iranian Armed Forces (with 46.1% choosing “very high” and 29.2% choosing “high”).
  • 14% expressed a “moderate” level of trust.
  • 8.1% expressed low confidence (5.1% “low” and 3% “very low”).

 

Division Over Negotiations with the United States

Public opinion remains deeply divided regarding the prospect of holding diplomatic talks with Washington at this juncture.

  • 48.4% Total Opposed: Consisting of 26.3% who are “completely opposed” and 22.1% who are “opposed.”
  • 36.3% Total In Favor: Consisting of 24.6% who are “in favor” and 11.7% who are “completely in favor.”
  • 12.9% remained neutral, choosing the “moderate/undecided” option.

 

Strong Mandate for Hormuz Strait Control

One of the most decisive outcomes of the survey surrounded Iran’s maritime border policy, showing an absolute majority in support of Tehran’s administrative control over the critical maritime chokepoint.

 

“What is your opinion on Iran’s management and control of the Strait of Hormuz?”

  • 83.5% Approve: (55.2% completely in favor, 28.3% in favor)
  • 7.2% Neutral
  • 7% Disapprove: (4.9% opposed, 2.1% completely opposed)

 

Polarization on Ceasefire and Future Strategy

Views on the ceasefire are highly competitive, though opponents hold a slight edge. According to the data, 42.4% oppose a ceasefire (17.5% completely opposed, 24.9% opposed), while 38.8% favor it (8.3% completely in favor, 30.5% in favor). Another 16% chose a neutral stance.

 

When it was said to choose a singular definitive path forward for the future of the conflict:

  • 52.5% advocate for continuing the war effort.
  • 41.9% prefer seeking a diplomatic agreement with the United States.

 

Key Policy Indicators: Infrastructure Attacks & Regional Alliances

The survey also presented respondents with specific hypothetical scenarios, political conditions, and regional alignments:

 

1. Response to Critical Infrastructure Attacks

When asked if Iran should continue fighting if its vital infrastructure (water, electricity, gas, etc.) were targeted:

  • 48.7% supported continuing the war (23% completely agree, 25.7% agree).
  • 40.2% opposed continuing the war under those conditions (14.9% completely disagree, 25.3% disagree).
  • 8.8% chose a neutral response.

 

2. Consensus on Iran’s “Ten Conditions”

The survey showed nearly unified domestic alignment regarding how the war should end, with 83.8% of respondents supporting a conclusion based strictly on Iran’s “Ten Conditions” (41.9% completely agree, 41.9% agree). Only 6.5% opposed this framework, while 7.6% remained neutral.

 

3. Support for the Axis of Resistance

Public backing for Iran’s regional alignment remains solid:

  • 62% support Iran’s continued backing of the Axis of Resistance (28.3% completely in favor, 33.7% in favor).
  • 24.4% oppose regional alignment (10.4% completely opposed, 14% opposed).
  • 11.2% chose the moderate option.

 

Public Grades Government’s Wartime Performance

The poll also asked citizens to rate the government’s administrative and executive performance during the recent conflict, known as the “Ramadan War.”

 

The data indicates mixed reviews, with a combined 45.1% of respondents rating the performance positively (10.9% as “very good” and 34.2% as “good”).

 

Meanwhile, 15.2% of those polled held a “moderate” or neutral view. Conversely, a significant portion expressed dissatisfaction, with 25.6% grading the government’s performance as “weak” and 11.6% as “very weak.”