WANA (Mar 06) – Joint and coordinated attacks by Iran and Lebanon against Israel are increasing. In the early hours and days of the confrontation, Iran had already been carrying out heavy bombardments on occupied Palestine.

 

What distinguishes the current wave of attacks, however, is the emergence of defensive weaknesses on Israel’s side. The protective ring around the occupied territories has been weakened following the destruction of radar systems and the depletion of interceptor missiles—systems that had been deployed in the Persian Gulf.

 

It also appears that continuous Iranian strikes on offensive bases, along with forcing them to disperse their assets, have reduced the intensity of enemy attacks compared to previous days. As a result, they are now compelled to concentrate their firepower on new targets at the cost of abandoning others.

 

With these developments, Israel is currently facing several crises:

  1. From the earliest hours, missiles were launched toward Israel despite reinforced defensive layers in the region, placing significant strain on its interceptor reserves.
  2. At the same time, the Lebanese front has opened alongside Iran, carrying out both independent and joint attacks—further draining interceptor stockpiles and reducing interception success rates.
  3. The declining interceptor reserves of the United States and several Arab states in the region, combined with increasing pressure on Israeli supply requests, have complicated efforts to replenish these systems during the war—especially as U.S. positions themselves are also under attack.

 

A more penetrable Israeli airspace could have several consequences:

  1. Strikes against government and security centres inside major cities.
  2. Extensive damage to offensive air bases.
  3. The potential for Iranian air support for a possible Lebanese ground offensive, through the destruction of Israeli positions in the north, before and during such an operation.
  4. The possible entry of Iraq and Yemen into the battlefield as obstacles—such as Israeli interceptor systems and offensive capabilities—are reduced