Who Controls the Rules? The Strategic Contest Over Hormuz
WANA (Jul 15) – If Washington’s objective were simply to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, this chapter would likely have ended long ago. What continues to draw the United States back to the Strait after months of confrontation is not merely the movement of oil tankers, but what it sees as a challenge to a long-standing principle of its foreign policy: that the United States should remain the ultimate guarantor of security and the principal rule-maker in the world’s most strategic maritime chokepoints.
This is the aspect that often receives the least attention. The core issue is not oil, nor is it maritime navigation alone. The real question is whether a regional power can alter the operational reality of one of the world’s most critical energy corridors without accepting Washington’s terms. If that precedent is established, its implications would extend far beyond the Persian Gulf.
For decades, the United States has sought to preserve its strategic influence over key maritime corridors—from the Bab el-Mandeb and the Red Sea to the Strait of Malacca and the Mediterranean.

People ride past an anti-U.S. billboard depicting U.S. President Donald Trump and the Strait of Hormuz, in Tehran, Iran, May 30, 2026. Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency)
In geopolitical terms, controlling strategic waterways has never been solely about trade; it has also been about shaping the behavior of states. A country capable of influencing the flow of global energy acquires leverage that can affect economic and security calculations without firing a single shot.
Viewed from this perspective, the Strait of Hormuz has become a matter of strategic credibility for Washington. If the current reality becomes entrenched, the message to America’s allies would extend well beyond the Gulf: even the world’s most powerful military may not always be able to reshape facts on the ground according to its own objectives.
This is precisely where the issue evolves from a regional security dispute into a broader test of American power. In international politics, power is measured not only by military assets but also by whether others believe that a country can translate its capabilities into political outcomes.
Once that perception weakens, the consequences are unlikely to remain confined to the Strait of Hormuz; they may influence strategic calculations from East Asia to Europe.

The Hormuz Crisis: A New Opportunity for Israel
WANA (Jul 13) – Against the backdrop of recent developments, Israel is likely the most satisfied actor on the scene. Following the clashes of recent days — and especially the failure of the latest mediation efforts over the Strait of Hormuz — the prospects for a final resolution of the disputes between Iran and the […]
From this standpoint, Washington’s renewed emphasis on maritime pressure can be interpreted as an effort to restore deterrence rather than simply to constrain Iran. The United States appears to be concerned not only with the present situation in the Strait but also with preserving a broader international order that has long rested on the assumption that Washington ultimately sets the rules.
Perhaps the most significant transformation, however, is the changing nature of strategic competition itself. In the past, capturing territory or occupying ports was often regarded as the defining measure of victory.
Today, a state may be able to reshape the global balance of power simply by influencing the movement of energy and trade. In that sense, the Strait of Hormuz derives its strategic value not merely from its geography but from its potential to serve as a powerful instrument of geopolitical leverage.
For that reason, this dispute is unlikely to be resolved quickly. Any retreat by either side would represent more than a tactical adjustment—it would also risk validating the other side’s narrative of the confrontation.
In many of the twenty-first century’s geopolitical crises, victory is increasingly determined not by who controls more territory, but by whose interpretation of the outcome gains wider international acceptance. The Strait of Hormuz has become one of the clearest arenas in which that contest over strategic narratives is unfolding.





