Will There Be Another Attack on Iran?
WANA (Aug 19) – These days, the possibility of a renewed war is a frequent topic of discussion in private gatherings, public circles, and the media. The way some people frame the question makes it seem as though another war is inevitable.
But in the realm of analysis, there is no certainty or absoluteness. One could even say that it is unlikely Netanyahu or Trump themselves have made any final decision on this matter yet. Still, while another war may not be certain, it is also not improbable — in fact, there are reasons that could strengthen its likelihood in the future.
Netanyahu and Trump’s main priority is creating internal unrest and instability in Iran — whether through intensified pressures, reactivating “snapback” sanctions, multiple economic crises, or under certain circumstances, the renewal of war in the form of sudden military strikes (major assassinations, attacks on government centers, etc.).
People attend the funeral procession of Iranian military commanders, nuclear scientists and others killed in Israeli strikes, in Tehran, Iran, June 28, 2025. Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency)
Regardless of Israel’s failure to fully achieve its objectives in the recent conflict, one major factor that could encourage it toward launching another war or strike is Tel Aviv’s belief that, after several rounds of back-and-forth attacks — especially the recent 12-day war — it has a clear sense of how Iran will respond, the scope of that response, and the nature of Iran’s potential targets. In other words, the predictability (or lack thereof) of an opponent’s reaction is a crucial element in determining whether to start a war.
Secondly, Israel believes it has control over the timing of any war — that it can predefine both its beginning and end. In practice, this means that once Israel halts its strikes after hitting certain targets, Iran will also cease its attacks, and the war will come to a close.
For this reason, it is not unlikely that Israel might prepare itself for another round of confrontation by adopting unprecedented measures at various levels to minimize the damage and casualties of Iran’s counterattacks. Such a conflict would be short, intense, and concentrated within a narrow timeframe, after which hostilities would stop.
Five Key Points on Trump and the ‘Ceasefire’ Announcement
WANA (Jun 24) – U.S. President Donald Trump has claimed that a ceasefire between Iran and the Israeli regime is expected within hours. But behind this statement lie several calculated motives and expectations, which can be broken down as follows: 1. Trump is framing himself as a mediator—despite having ordered a direct military strike […]
But why short-term? The reason is that Israel, given its small geography, cannot endure a prolonged war in which its entire territory and depth are struck daily by dozens of missiles, effectively paralyzing normal life for an extended period. This did not happen during the wars in Gaza or Lebanon, but in the recent 12-day conflict, the whole of Israel was effectively shut down, with residents constantly moving between their homes and shelters. This situation, aside from its other consequences, placed enormous psychological pressure on Israeli society and decision-makers.
Moreover, the longer a war drags on, the less effective Israel’s missile defense systems could become at intercepting rockets, increasing the rate of successful strikes. Thus, while Iran’s missile capabilities are indeed an obstacle to prolonging a war, they do not necessarily prevent one from starting. For now, Israel seems to believe it can endure limited missile strikes for a short period in exchange for achieving longer-term strategic objectives.
A Time Bomb Over Israel’s Infrastructure
WANA (Aug 18) – A recent report by the Hebrew-language daily Israel Hayom about Iranian missiles striking the Bazan power plant paints a new picture of the fragility of Israel’s critical infrastructure—one that even domestic media could not conceal. According to the paper’s account, in the early hours of June 16, an Iranian missile […]
As long as this equation and perception remain in place, the possibility of renewed attacks or war — whether by Israel or the U.S. — cannot be ruled out. The likelihood exists sooner or later, and in such a case, what lies ahead may not be just a single round of conflict, but potentially several controlled, limited confrontations short of an all-out war.
Overall, any direct military strikes would only represent the visible dimension of a broader confrontation that, in various overt and covert forms, is already underway.
An Iranian missile system is displayed next to a banner with a picture of Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, to showcase Iran’s authority during the Iranian defence week, in a street in Tehran, Iran, September 24, 2024. Majid Asgaripour/WANA (West Asia News Agency)
