WANA (Dec 08) – The shift of power in Syria might unfold through several scenarios regarding the country’s future trajectory, including its division and collapse.

 

The first scenario envisions a Democratic Republic of Syria formed by an alliance of opposition groups with diverse factions and ideologies after the fall of Bashar al-Assad’s regime.

The second scenario suggests the establishment of an Islamic State of Syria, where representatives of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham form the backbone of the new government. In this case, Syria would be governed by Salafist hardliners who, according to the journalist and analyst, harbor no hostility toward Israel or the United States.

Syria 

According to the third scenario, a pro-Israeli anti-Shia government might emerge in Syria, primarily focused on opposing Iran. Such a regime would aim to curb Hezbollah’s operations and deprive it of logistical and military support from Tehran.

 

The fourth scenario involves the creation of a Federal Republic of Syria under U.S. leadership. This would entail the division of Syria into small client states, resembling the Balkanization of Eastern Europe in the 1990s.

 

The fifth scenario predicts Syria’s disintegration and collapse. Should the opposition groups and their foreign backers fail to reach a consensus, the civil war in Syria could escalate, eventually leading to the country’s complete breakdown.