WANA (Jan 29) – “Behind (America’s) diplomatic smiles, hostility and resentment are hidden.” This is a statement made by Iran’s Supreme Leader in his latest speech—a direct warning about Western policies that once again highlights Tehran’s distrust of vague promises and non-binding commitments.

 

In recent days, Iran’s foreign policy has witnessed significant developments that have directly impacted the country’s position in regional and international dynamics. On one hand, the U.S. and its allies are trying to maintain the status quo through negotiations and diplomatic pressure. On the other hand, Iran, emphasizing a policy of active resistance, is charting a new course to navigate this situation.

Signals from Tehran: A New Type of Negotiation?

European diplomats told Axios last week that Iran had clearly conveyed in recent talks that it seeks to initiate negotiations for a new and different nuclear agreement, separate from the JCPOA. According to these diplomats, Tehran is waiting for the U.S. to present a framework or proposal.

 

Meanwhile, Donald Trump, the U.S. president, dismissed speculation about reviving the “maximum pressure” campaign against Iran, instead expressing a preference for a diplomatic solution to manage tensions with Tehran. Speaking on Hannity on Fox News on January 23, Trump stated that the “only thing” he insists on is that Iran “cannot have nuclear weapons.”

 

 

Iranian Perspectives: A Shift in Policy?

Domestically, politicians and analysts have weighed in on Iran’s changing stance. Seyed Abbas Araghchi, in an interview with Sky News, emphasized that Iran must “first assess the other side’s position and then evaluate their level of commitment and adherence.” His remarks reflect Iran’s experience with past agreements and suggest a tougher negotiating stance moving forward.

 

Saeed Jalili, a member of Iran’s Expediency Council, echoed a similar view, stating:
“We have learned that negotiations for the sake of negotiations are merely a waste of time. Iran’s strategy should be based on initiative and strengthening its bargaining power.”

 

Western analysts, such as Richard Haass, former president of the Council on Foreign Relations, believe that Iran is shifting its negotiation strategy with the West. Tehran is no longer willing to accept verbal assurances or non-binding promises.

 

 

A Shift from ‘Waiting’ to ‘Action’

A key element of these recent developments is Iran’s move away from a strategy of waiting for negotiations towards a policy of “active diplomacy” and “strategic action.” This shift has become increasingly evident, particularly given Iran’s experience with previous governments and the U.S.’s inconsistent approach to key issues.

 

The Supreme Leader of Iran underscored this policy change, stating: “We should neither establish secret ties, nor show unnecessary enthusiasm.”

 

This statement serves as a clear interpretation of Iran’s new diplomatic approach—one that is grounded in “distrust toward the opposing side” and a firm stance against “unstable negotiations.”

What Lies Ahead? Iran’s Strategic Options

Given the current geopolitical landscape, Iran’s foreign policy is likely to proceed along three main paths:

 

1. Strengthening Strategic Alliances with the East
In recent months, Iran has intensified its efforts to expand economic and political relations with countries like China and Russia. The signing of new agreements and strengthening of bilateral cooperation signal this shift.

 

2. Increasing Counterpressure on the U.S. and Its Allies
Iran seeks to raise the costs for its negotiating counterparts, leveraging various tools in economic, diplomatic, and security arenas. The U.S. has a clear incentive to engage in serious multilateral negotiations; otherwise, if Washington limits talks to a bilateral format with Tehran, European allies may react by activating the “snapback” mechanism—especially amid growing uncertainty in U.S.-EU relations.

 

3. Limiting Unnecessary Diplomatic Engagements
Unlike the past, when some factions within Iran pushed for broader engagement with the West, the current official policy favors reducing non-essential interactions and focusing on long-term strategic partnerships.

 

 

The Future of Iran’s Foreign Policy: A New Era

Based on these developments, it is evident that Iran’s foreign policy is entering a new phase—one in which “the Axis of Resistance” and “smart diplomacy” replace previous reliance on negotiations. While this path presents its challenges, it underscores Iran’s determination to pursue an independent strategic trajectory, without reliance on uncertain promises.

 

The Supreme Leader’s latest speech, internal political shifts, and changing U.S. positions all indicate that a new era in Iran’s diplomacy has begun.

 

Now, the key question remains: Is the U.S. and its allies ready to accept these new rules?